Bookmakers give preference to the host team in their predictions. Atalanta’s victory is offered at odds of 2.00, which is approximately 50% probability. Milan’s victory is estimated at odds of 3.80 – about 25% probability. A draw is proportionate to the guests’ success.
At the same time, analysts expect productive football in Bergamo. Total under 2.5 goals is presented in bookmakers’ offices with odds of 2.18, and total over 2.5 goals – with odds of 1.73. If both sides score, odds of 1.65 will play. The most likely score for experts is a 1:1 tie.
Was this an act of intimidation or something? Milan steamrolled Sassuolo this week and reached the quarterfinals of the Italian Cup. Moreover, the Rossoneri allowed their opponent to score only one goal, in the 59th minute. But this did not decide anything, because by that time they were leading with a score of 5:0, and in the end they won 6:1. Very impressive!
Of course, Atalanta will not be scared by such a thing. The Bergamaschi have gained such a solid momentum that they are claiming the championship. The team is on a series of eight victories in different tournaments, and the goal difference is 26:4. The gap from Napoli in Italy is one point, and from Liverpool in the Champions League is four.
At the same time, in the last round, the Bergamaschi beat Roma away with a score of 2:0. At this stage of the season, there are no problems with either defense or attack. Swiss Young Boys, who lost on their home field with a score of 1:6, will not let me lie either. And yet, Milan showed with their victory that they are not afraid of the upcoming meeting and are at least ready to put up a fight.
The history of personal meetings also speaks in favor of productive and double-edged football in Bergamo. In the last three matches, both teams have certainly scored, and in two of them, the total was over two goals scored for each. If you want to check the goals in both directions through the total over 2.5 goals, the odds for this combined option are around 2.05.
Another option with a higher odds is that Atalanta will win and the total is over 1.5 goals. The Milanese can well play for a goal. But they are very unlikely to count on a victory on an away field after a cup game in the middle of the week. The Bergamo team had more rest and got time to better prepare for the opponent. So they should extend their powerful series.